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Best Cases to Open in CS:GO (February 2026)

2026-02-06  -  5 min read

by Skinflow

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Unraveling the Best CS:GO Cases to open in 2026: A Collector's Guide

As of February 2026, around forty cases have been released in CS2, each offering a diverse selection of weapon skins, gloves, and knives. While some cases feature items with market values significantly exceeding their cost, profitability depends largely on chance. Therefore, it's essential to approach skin purchases cautiously and consider the cost of keys when calculating potential profit.

Case rarities probabilities

Firstly, let's go over the odds for each rarity drop once the case is opened:

Skin Rarities

Drop % Probabilities

Mil-Spec (Blue)

79.92%

Restricted (Purple)

15.98%

Classified (Pink)

3.2%

Covert (Red)

0.64%

Rare Special Item (Gold)

0.26%

1. Operation Wildfire Case ($5.43 + $2.49 key) (78.21% ROI)

Operation Wildfire Case

With an ROI of 78.21%, the Operation Wildfire Case takes the #1 spot in terms of profitability as you can expect an average of 78.21% ROI meaning if you spend 100$ on this case you can expect to get 78.21$ back with average luck. The knives dropped from the case include the Bowie Knife in various finishes such as Fade, Slaughter and Case Hardened.

The Covert AK-47 Fuel Injector is one of the most iconic and sought after skins from this case, making the Red rarity drops highly valuable as well.

Bowie Knife FadeAK-47 Fuel Injector

2. CS:GO Weapon Case 3 ($14.88 + $2.49 key) (73.67% ROI)

CS:GO Weapon Case 3

This discontinued and scarce CS2 case is the second best case you can open with an ROI of 73.67%. It contains classic knives like the Karambit, M9 Bayonet, Gut Knife and Flip Knife that can reach extremely high prices in rare finishes.

Keep in mind that the ROI is highly inflated by the gold drops meaning you will have to open a lot of cases in order to get closer to the theoretical ROI.

Karambit FadeM9 Bayonet Slaughter

3. Shadow Case ($2.23 + $2.49 key) (72.78% ROI)

Shadow Case

With an ROI of 72.78%, the Shadow Case takes the #3 spot. This discontinued case features the Shadow Daggers as its signature knife and contains popular skins like the M4A1-S Golden Coil (Covert) and AK-47 Frontside Misty (Classified).

Shadow Daggers FadeUSP-S Kill Confirmed

4. Gallery Case ($1.40 + $2.49 key) (70.92% ROI)

Gallery Case

This case takes the #4 spot in the most profitable cases, since you can expect to get on average 70.92% of your money back when opening it. As one of the newer CS2 cases, the Gallery Case features the Kukri Knife and contains a diverse drop pool with modern skin designs.

5. Falchion Case ($2.37 + $2.49 key) (70.76% ROI)

Falchion Case

With an ROI of 70.76%, the Falchion Case takes the final spot at the #5 position. This discontinued case features the Falchion Knife and contains some highly sought after skins like the AWP Hyper Beast (Covert) and AK-47 Aquamarine Revenge (Classified) which remain popular among players.

Falchion Knife FadeAK-47 Aquamarine Revenge

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Sources: CSROI